Oil price rockets high; BEST TIME to INVEST in PROPERTY
The chain effect of rise in petrol prices has caused the consumers to change the buying and investment behavior. Due to the extra burden on the expenses, many may drop the plan to purchase a new home or to make a new investment . However, Gavin thinks this behavior is only an immediate short live response to the increase , and the slow down of real estate market is just a temporary scenario.
Gavin is the managing Director of Arborland & Co, also a principal consultant of 5G Channel introduced by FECAM to serve the Chinese community in property investment matter. He is also the council member of Malaysia institute of estate agent (MIEA).
Gavin is optimistic of the impact on property market by the hike in oil price , as he believes that property is an investment that provides good hedges against inflation.
Unlike commodities where the sensitivity level is higher , any increase in oil price will trigger immediate effect . Property sensitivity level is lower and tend to have delay respond. However , after a short time the price will be adjusted substantially. The prices will likely to escalate within 6 months time. Therefore, the following 6 months will be the best time to buy.
Gavin believes the secondary market of completed properties will become the new star in property transaction for the reasons that these properties prices are not affected by the rising construction cost in building materials . Furthermore, the property price for the secondary market has not been appreciated much in the last two years when compared with other new projects. Hence this sector of property will attract more buyers as it offers more freedom for negotiation and larger capital appreciation when compares to the new project which prices is heavily relied on the cost of building materials and other external factors.
For the new projects or under - construction properties , there is not much choice but to raise the selling price. For the completed properties , they may not have to follow.
Gavin views the medium cost new housing projects will be the main sector hit by the hike of oil prices as construction cost contribute the main portion of cost when comparing to high-end project where costs are well distributed into design fee, conceptual set up, location and other professional charges. In addition, the medium cost housing project are constrained by the ceiling prices set by the market unlike the high end property has less constrain on pricing. ( ie. Construction cost may attribute 50% of selling price to medium cost project while it may only be 25% in the case of high cost property.)
It is expected that many smart investors will take this opportunity ( before the property price shoot up ) to invest heavily in the real estate market. The number of such investors may not be substantial however they will become of the most profitable ones.
Gavin also believes that the repercussion to the foreign investors is mild as Malaysia real estate prices are considered relatively low in the Asia region as foreigner investors mainly invest in high-end condominium , land, commercial or corporate buildings which has smaller impact by the latest increase of petrol price is small.